Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Polymarket traders put "October 8" at 91.5% on "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?". $11K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 30 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
October 8
–92%
PoliticsVol $11KTotal volume $11KLiquidity $13Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 8
91.5%
–
October 7
90.5%
–
October 12
90.0%
–
October 15
90.0%
–
October 26
90.0%
–
October 5
89.5%
–
October 9
89.5%
–
October 23
89.5%
–
October 2
89.3%
–
October 21
88.0%
–
October 3
87.9%
–
October 16
87.5%
–
October 20
87.5%
–
October 27
87.0%
–
October 29
86.5%
–
October 18
85.0%
–
October 22
85.0%
–
October 13
84.5%
–
October 19
84.5%
–
October 6
84.0%
–
October 17
83.5%
–
October 11
82.0%
–
October 31
80.5%
–
October 10
75.0%
–
October 28
73.0%
–
October 30
73.0%
–
October 4
62.0%
–
October 25
48.5%
–
October 14
46.5%
–
October 24
45.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
