Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Most likely right now
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
4%
PoliticsVol $105Total volume $534KLiquidity $57KComments 29in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
3.65%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.