Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
Polymarket traders put "Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?" at 32.5%. Up 2.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
▲2.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.5KLiquidity $52KComments 1in 2.1 years (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
32.5%
▲2.0
Probability over time
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
