Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?" at 4.5%. Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▼1.05%
PoliticsVol $1.5KTotal volume $864KLiquidity $63Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
4.50%
▼1.0
Probability over time
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
