Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 52.5% on "Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by...?". $170 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
–53%
PoliticsVol $170Total volume $80Liquidity $135Comments 1in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
52.5%
–
November 30
47.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.