Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
–12%
PoliticsVol $500Total volume $3.7MLiquidity $189KComments 539in 10 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
11.5%
–
December 31
5.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
