Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 8.5% on "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?". $4.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
–9%
PoliticsVol $4.6KTotal volume $4.2MLiquidity $178KComments 497in 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
8.50%
–
December 31
3.30%
–

Probability over time

June 30, 2027
December 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.