Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?" at 6.5%. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
–7%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $3.1KLiquidity $12Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
6.50%
–

Probability over time

Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.