Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
Polymarket traders put "October 4" at 89.0% on "Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?". $83 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
October 4
–89%
PoliticsVol $83Total volume $83Liquidity $2.9Kin 28 days (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 4
89.0%
–
October 6
52.0%
–
October 7
52.0%
–
October 5
51.5%
–
October 13
51.0%
–
October 10
49.0%
–
October 9
48.5%
–
October 12
48.5%
–
October 11
45.5%
–
October 3
37.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
