Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
Polymarket traders put "November 3" at 100.0% on "Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?". $673 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 28 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 3
–100%
PoliticsVol $673Total volume $673Liquidity $10Kin 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 3
100.0%
–
November 4
86.5%
▲12.5
November 5
86.0%
▲12.0
November 6
73.5%
▼0.5
November 7
73.5%
▼0.5
November 8
73.5%
▼0.5
November 9
73.5%
▼0.5
November 10
73.0%
▼1.0
November 11
73.0%
▼1.0
November 13
73.0%
▼1.0
November 14
73.0%
▼1.0
November 15
73.0%
▼1.0
November 16
73.0%
▼1.0
November 17
73.0%
▼1.0
November 18
73.0%
▼1.0
November 19
73.0%
▼1.0
November 20
73.0%
▼1.0
November 21
73.0%
▼1.0
November 22
73.0%
▼1.0
November 23
73.0%
▼1.0
November 12
72.5%
▼1.5
November 24
71.5%
▼2.5
November 25
71.5%
▼2.5
November 26
71.5%
▼2.5
November 27
71.5%
▼2.5
November 28
71.5%
▼2.5
November 29
71.5%
▼2.5
November 30
71.5%
▼2.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
