Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
Polymarket traders put "280M" at 70.5% on "Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?". $450 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 12.
Most likely right now
280M
–71%
EconomyVol $450Total volume $450Liquidity $597in 2 months (Nov 12)
Current probability
Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
280M
70.5%
–
270M
70.0%
–
240M
28.0%
–
260M
25.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
