Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will US withdraw from NATO by...?" at 2.8%. Unchanged from yesterday. $58 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–3%
PoliticsVol $58Total volume $6.3MLiquidity $57KComments 68in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
2.80%
–
Probability over time
December 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
