Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Most likely right now
December 31
–3%
PoliticsVol $1.0KTotal volume $6.3MLiquidity $80KComments 70in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
2.50%
–
August 31
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
