WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 29.5% on "WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $19 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
3.030%
PoliticsVol $19Total volume $19Liquidity $10Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
29.5%
3.0
Republican 20-25%
29.5%
3.0
Republican 0-5%
28.0%
1.5
Republican 40-45%
25.0%
1.5
Republican 15-20%
25.0%
0.5
Republican 35-40%
23.5%
5.0
Republican 25-30%
23.0%
4.5
Republican 45%+
21.5%
3.0
Republican 5-15%
21.5%
3.0
Democrat Wins
4.00%
18.5

Probability over time

Republican 30-35%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.