WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 36.5% on "WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
–37%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $151Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
36.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
25.5%
▲1.0
Republican 20-25%
22.5%
–
Republican 35-40%
16.0%
▲1.4
Republican 40-45%
4.20%
▲0.6
Republican 15-20%
3.35%
▼0.7
Republican 45%+
0.65%
–
Republican 5-15%
0.40%
–
Republican 0-5%
0.15%
–
Democrat Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
