Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Lin Kuo-chang" at 69.5% on "Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner". There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 29.

Most likely right now
Lin Kuo-chang
–70%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $82KComments 1in 2 months (Nov 29)
Current probability

Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lin Kuo-chang
69.5%
–
Wu Tsung-hsien
28.5%
–
Chen Wan-hui
1.55%
–
Chang Sheng-te
1.05%
–

Probability over time

Lin Kuo-chang
Wu Tsung-hsien
Chen Wan-hui
Chang Sheng-te
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/12
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-12 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.