York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Susan Lahey" at 97.6% on "York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner". There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 3.
Most likely right now
Susan Lahey
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $4.1KLiquidity $78Kin 9 days (Sep 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Susan Lahey
97.6%
–
Naomi Davison
1.40%
–
Matt Pearce
0.55%
–
Bobby Nikmard
0.50%
–
David Ghobrial
0.50%
–
Sean Conroy
0.50%
–
Gerald Auger
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Susan Lahey
Naomi Davison
Matt Pearce
Bobby Nikmard
David Ghobrial
Sean Conroy
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
