Polymarket Politics odds

2,525 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

2201
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Julia Letlow (R)▼0.593%
Jamie Davis (D)–6.50%
2202
India strike on Pakistan by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 70in 3 months
December 31, 2026–9.00%
2203
García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31, 2026▲5.017%
2204
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? ▲0.526%
2205
UK social media ban in effect by…?
PoliticsVol -in 9 months
June 30, 2027▼5.063%
December 31, 2026▲1.019%
2206
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
PoliticsVol -in 20 days
October 31▼0.511%
2207
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?–9.50%
2208
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?–11%
2209
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?–58%
2210
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?–4.85%
2211
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?–6.45%
2212
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?▼1.531%
2213
Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
December 31, 2026–11%
2214
2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Heather Jefts–78%
Steven Snell–20%
2215
2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Ricardo Samaniego–96%
Minerva Torres Shelton–3.70%
2216
2026 Dallas County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Clay Jenkins▼0.895%
Mike Immler▼1.03.70%
2217
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–24%
October 31–5.25%
2218
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?–12%
2219
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
PoliticsVol -Comments 3in 3 months
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?–3.55%
2220
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?–5.50%
2221
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 1.2 years
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?–14%
2222
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?–5.75%
2223
Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Tom Kean Jr.out as US Rep before term ends?▲3.517%
2224
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
PoliticsVol -in 9 months
June 30, 2027–15%
December 31, 2026–8.50%
2225
California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
2226
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition▼5.545%
2227
California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition▼3.556%
2228
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition▼3.568%
2229
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition–71%
2230
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition–39%
2231
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition▼1.046%
2232
California Recall Election Reform Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California Recall Election Reform Proposition▲0.561%
2233
California Clinic Funding Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California Clinic Funding Proposition▲3.546%
2234
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition▼17.040%
2235
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?–14%
2236
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?–3.30%
2237
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
PoliticsVol -Comments 6in 1.8 years
Željko Komšić–18%
Denis Zvizdić▼2.814%
+2 more
2238
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 4in 3 months
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?–17%
2239
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?▲1.019%
2240
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?–9.50%
2241
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?
PoliticsVol -in 20 days
October 31▼1.12.95%
2242
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?–18%
2243
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?▼5.559%
2244
Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Jordan Bardella–96%
Marine Le Pen–2.20%
+2 more
2245
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
PoliticsVol -in 6 months
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?–9.50%
2246
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–14%
2247
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–13%
2248
CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Lateefah Simon–95%
Jamie Joyce–1.80%
2249
CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Sydney Kamlager-Dove–96%
Samantha Mota–4.25%
2250
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 4in 3 months
December 31▲1.526%
October 31–16%
2251
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?–5.50%
2252
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
PoliticsVol -in 9 months
June 30, 2027–30%
December 31, 2026–15%
2253
Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner
PoliticsVol -in 10 months
ND–90%
ELAS▲1.07.05%
+2 more
2254
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?–2.70%
2255
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?–3.30%
2256
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 3 months
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?–9.00%
2257
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 168in 3 months
December 31–2.10%
2258
Iran invades Kuwait by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 11in 3 months
December 31–2.60%
October 31–0.75%
2259
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–8.00%
2260
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?–66%
2261
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 23 days
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?–71%
2262
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
1-100–70%
1k-2.5k–19%
+2 more
2263
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
New Zealand–11%
The Netherlands▼1.010%
+2 more
2264
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Elon register any party before 2027?▲2.54.95%
2265
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? –3.65%
2266
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?–4.05%
2267
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?–2.45%
2268
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–3.15%
2269
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?–2.95%
2270
Obama federally charged before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Obama federally charged before 2027?–3.30%
2271
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31▼1.84.80%
2272
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?–2.95%
2273
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?–2.65%
2274
Obama arrested before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Obama arrested before 2027?–2.15%
2275
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?–1.00%
2276
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?–4.00%
2277
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–19%
2278
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?–24%
2279
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?–5.80%
2280
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?–5.40%
2281
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?▼0.54.00%
2282
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?
PoliticsVol -in 5 months
November 13, 2026–96%
March 13, 2027▲1.049%
2283
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?–5.90%
2284
Weed rescheduled by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–4.20%
2285
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?–4.00%
2286
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 5in 3 months
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?–20%
2287
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat▲1.084%
Republican–16%
2288
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 5 months
400-500k▼17.551%
500-600k–12%
+2 more
2289
U.S. nuclear test by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 24in 3 months
December 31, 2026–4.60%
2290
Russia nuclear test by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 10in 3 months
December 31, 2026▲0.55.05%
2291
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?–3.40%
2292
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
PoliticsVol -Comments 5in 4.2 years
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?–9.50%
2293
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?–3.20%
2294
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?–12%
2295
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–14%
2296
Oakland Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Barbara Lee–92%
Brenda Grisham–6.00%
2297
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 3 months
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?–14%
2298
James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
James Comey charges dropped by December 31?▼1.536%
2299
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?▼4.019%
2300
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?▼2.545%
2301
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?–51%
2302
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?–4.50%
2303
China coup attempt by...?
PoliticsVol -in 1.2 years
December 31, 2027▼0.521%
December 31, 2026–3.80%
2304
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?–2.90%
2305
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?–3.60%
2306
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Republican 30-35%–31%
Republican 35-40%–28%
+2 more
2307
Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)
PoliticsVol -in 1.1 years
Republican–82%
Democrat–17%
2308
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 36in 3 months
8–58%
9–32%
+2 more
2309
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?–5.15%
2310
Guerrero Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 8 months
Beatriz Mojica Morga▲2.988%
Manuel Añorve Baños▼4.54.40%
+2 more
2311
Colima Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 3in 8 months
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera–84%
Joel Padilla Peña▲4.49.45%
+2 more
2312
Chihuahua Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 8 months
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar▲2.546%
Marco Bonilla Mendoza▲2.036%
+2 more
2313
Campeche Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 8 months
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus▼3.072%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar–9.65%
+2 more
2314
AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Republican 25-30%▲5.027%
Republican 30-35%▼1.025%
+2 more
2315
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?–2.50%
2316
AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 35-40%▲1.033%
Democrat 30-35%–32%
+2 more
2317
GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 45-50%–27%
Democrat 50-55%▲2.923%
+2 more
2318
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 6 months
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?▲0.511%
2319
Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?▼3.08.00%
2320
John Fetterman out by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
December 31–3.05%
2321
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 23 days
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?–98%
2322
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 23 days
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?▼1.796%
2323
MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 20-25%▼0.527%
Democrat 15-20%–26%
+2 more
2324
ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 30-35%▲1.527%
Democrat 25-30%▼3.026%
+2 more
2325
MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 15-20%–31%
Democrat 20-25%▼1.523%
+2 more
2326
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 3%+▲1.997%
Republican 0-3%–1.55%
+2 more
2327
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Republican 25-30%–28%
Republican 20-25%–24%
+2 more
2328
Hamilton Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol -Comments 5in 15 days
Keanin Loomis▲1.062%
Andrea Horwath▼2.531%
+2 more
2329
Haiti elections delayed again?
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Haiti elections delayed again?▼1.092%
2330
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
1▲1.075%
2–27%
+2 more
2331
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
4–71%
5–15%
+2 more
2332
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
6▲0.537%
7+▼1.532%
+2 more
2333
Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Dems sweep–70%
Reps sweep▲0.518%
+2 more
2334
NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 25-30%–33%
Democrat 20-25%–30%
+2 more
2335
NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 20-25%▼0.534%
Democrat 15-20%–28%
+2 more
2336
NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 65-70%▲1.038%
Democrat 70-75%▲5.032%
+2 more
2337
NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 50-55%▲0.533%
Democrat 45-50%▼0.525%
+2 more
2338
OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Republican 15-20%▲2.435%
Republican 20-25%▼2.028%
+2 more
2339
PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Republican 0-3%▲0.524%
Democrat 0-3%▲2.018%
+2 more
2340
VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democrat 40-45%▲6.028%
Democrat 45-50%▼0.524%
+2 more
2341
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?–97%
2342
Epstein client list released by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1,049in 3 months
October 31–5.75%
2343
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 19in 3 months
December 31▲0.515%
2344
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?–1.70%
2345
Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 2 months
Lin Kuo-chang–70%
Wu Tsung-hsien–28%
+2 more
2346
Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 2 months
Chung Tung-chin–96%
Chen Pin-an▼1.52.80%
2347
Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 2 months
Hsu Shu-hua–96%
Wen Shih-cheng–3.50%
2348
Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 2 months
Chang Chia-chun–81%
Liu Chien-kuo▼1.015%
2349
Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 2 months
Tsai Yi-yu▲0.591%
Wu Pin-jui–8.50%
+1 more
2350
Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 2 months
Wang Mei-hui▼0.575%
Chang Chi-kai▲4.025%
+2 more
2351
Pingtung County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 3in 2 months
Chou Chun-mi▼4.583%
Su Ching-chuan–12%
2352
Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 2 months
Yu Shu-chen–82%
Wei Chia-hsien–13%
+2 more
2353
Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 2 months
Chen Chen-chung–64%
Wu Shu-chin▲8.027%
+2 more
2354
Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 2 months
Chen Yu-jen–95%
Li Wen-liang–3.50%
+2 more
2355
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?▲0.760%
2356
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election?▲1.261%
2357
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?–75%
2358
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?–94%
2359
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?–61%
2360
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?–96%
2361
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-08 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-08 House Election?▲1.498%
2362
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election?–96%
2363
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?▲0.597%
2364
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?▼0.792%
2365
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?–92%
2366
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?▼1.164%
2367
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?–91%
2368
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?–96%
2369
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?–95%
2370
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?▼0.74.00%
2371
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?–3.75%
2372
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?▲1.086%
2373
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?–92%
2374
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?–98%
2375
Kansas Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
1.1M-1.2M▼1.547%
1M-1.1M–27%
+2 more
2376
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Democratic Party▼0.568%
Republican Party–23%
+1 more
2377
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?–11%
2378
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 3 months
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?–3.00%
2379
Will Iran target Egypt by...?
PoliticsVol -in 20 days
October 31–1.65%
2380
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?▲2.056%
2381
Abia, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Otti Alex Chioma▼0.590%
Eric Opah▲0.95.05%
+2 more
2382
Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Ahmed Galadima–61%
Maurice Vunobolki▼1.216%
+2 more
2383
Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Eno Umo Bassey–76%
John James Akpanudoedehe▼0.819%
+2 more
2384
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar–42%
Yakubu Adamu▲1.022%
+2 more
2385
Borno, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Mustapha Gubio▲0.584%
Ibrahim Abba Gana–4.45%
+1 more
2386
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor▲1.080%
Barry Avotu Johnson▲0.77.30%
+2 more
2387
Jigawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Namadi Umar Alhaji▼1.587%
Mustapha Sule Lamido–1.65%
2388
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Nasir Idris▼0.588%
Abubakar Malami–9.40%
2389
Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed▲3.567%
Mohammed Abubakar Adamu▲11.315%
+2 more
2390
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Obafemi Hamzat–82%
Sowore Robert–6.80%
+2 more
2391
Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Mohammed Umaru Bago▲0.573%
Abubakar Suleiman▼0.88.85%
+1 more
2392
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?▲0.576%
2393
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?▼0.536%
2394
Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola▲0.578%
Rotimi Babajide▼0.59.05%
+2 more
2395
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Abimbola Adekanmbi▲0.559%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli–38%
+2 more
2396
Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh–82%
Kefas Ropshik▼0.913%
+2 more
2397
Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Chinda Kingsley Ogundu–92%
Dumo Lulu-Briggs–3.15%
+2 more
2398
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?–12%
2399
Another Canada election called by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 40in 3 months
December 31, 2026–4.25%
2400
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 47in 3 months
December 31, 2026–7.25%
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.