ポリマーケット 政治 の確率
政治分野で公開中のポリマーケット市場2,643件です。取引額の大きい順に並べています。
2601
CA-42 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 15-20%–43%
Democrat 0-5%–43%
他2件
2602
CA-41 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 15-20%–45%
Democrat 20-25%–44%
他2件
2603
CA-38 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 30%+–44%
Democrat 25-30%–43%
他2件
2604
CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 40-45%–43%
Democrat 50-55%–43%
他2件
2605
CA-35 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 15-20%–44%
Democrat 25-30%–43%
他2件
2606
VA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 0-5%▲10.150%
Republican 10-15%▲3.443%
他2件
2607
VA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Republican 0-10%–43%
Republican 30-35%–43%
他2件
2608
VA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 40-45%–43%
Democrat 25-35%–43%
他2件
2609
VA-11 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 40-45%–46%
Democrat 0-10%–45%
他2件
2610
WA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 25-30%–47%
Democrat 45%+–46%
他2件
2611
WA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 12-15%–43%
Democrat 9-12%▲4.039%
他2件
2612
WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Republican 35%+–43%
Republican 0-5%–43%
他2件
2613
WA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 25-30%–45%
Democrat 20-25%–42%
他2件
2614
WA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 50-60%▲5.044%
Democrat 80-85%▲5.243%
他2件
2615
WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 15-20%–45%
Democrat 25%+–45%
他2件
2616
WA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 40-45%–43%
Democrat 50-55%–43%
他2件
2617
WA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 10-15%–43%
Democrat 45%+–43%
他2件
2618
WA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -11日後
Democrat 30-35%–43%
Democrat 15-20%–43%
他2件
2619
RFK Jr. Out by October 31?
政治出来高 -9日後
RFK Jr. Out by October 31?–3.10%
2620
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?
政治出来高 -9日後
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?▲0.63.50%
2621
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
政治出来高 -2か月後
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?–3.85%
2622
Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -5日後
Cheryl Fuller▲4.087%
Garry Carpenter–1.50%
2623
Brighton Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -5日後
Leigh Gray–97%
Phil Owen–0.75%
2624
Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?
政治出来高 -2か月後
11月30日–31%
12月31日▼8.030%
他1件
2625
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
政治出来高 -2か月後
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?–4.75%
2626
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
政治出来高 -2か月後
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?–2.40%
2627
Arizona Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -12日後
Kris Mayes (D)–83%
Warren Petersen (R)▲0.517%
2628
Florida Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -12日後
James Uthmeier (R)▼0.579%
José Javier Rodriguez (D)▲1.021%
2629
Michigan Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -12日後
Eli Savit (D)–81%
Doug Lloyd (R)▲1.520%
2630
Nevada Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -12日後
Nicole Jeanette Cannizzaro (D)▲0.581%
Adriana Guzmán Fralick (R)–19%
2631
Wisconsin Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -12日後
Josh Kaul (D)–81%
Eric Toney (R)▼0.518%
2632
Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner
政治出来高 -12日後
JoCasta Zamarripa (D)▲1.077%
Jay Schroeder (R)▼0.523%
2633
Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -12日後
Molly Gray (D)–96%
John S. Rodgers (R)–3.15%
2634
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
政治出来高 -コメント 92か月後
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?–5.55%
2635
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 42か月後
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?▼1.214%
2636
Whitby, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -3日後
Elizabeth Roy▲0.582%
Chris Leahy–13%
他1件
2637
Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -3日後
Kevin Ashe–75%
Doug Cornell▲1.014%
他2件
2638
Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?
政治出来高 -5日後
5.5-6.5%▲0.538%
4.5-5.5%▲2.537%
他2件
2639
Israel Election: Unity vote share?
政治出来高 -コメント 45日後
<0.5%–98%
0.5-0.75%–0.70%
他2件
2640
Tim Walz charged by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 482か月後
Before 2027–4.00%
2641
EU dissolves before 2027?
政治出来高 -コメント 102か月後
EU dissolves before 2027?–1.65%
2642
Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?▼1.022%
2643
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?
政治出来高 -コメント 45か月後
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?–5.30%