0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
Polymarket traders put "March 31, 2027" at 76.0% on "0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?". $42 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.
Most likely right now
March 31, 2027
–76%
PoliticsVol $42Total volume $42Liquidity $806in 5 months (Apr 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
March 31, 2027
76.0%
–
January 31, 2027
64.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
