2026 Taipei Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Chiang Wan-an <4%" at 21.0% on "2026 Taipei Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $522 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 29.
Most likely right now
Chiang Wan-an <4%
▼2.021%
PoliticsVol $522Total volume $1.1KLiquidity $16Kin 14 days (Nov 29)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Chiang Wan-an <4%
21.0%
▼2.0
Chiang Wan-an 4-8%
20.5%
▼9.0
Puma Shen <4%
16.0%
▼11.0
Puma Shen 8%+
16.0%
▼3.5
Chiang Wan-an 8-12%
15.5%
▼16.0
Chiang Wan-an 12%+
14.0%
▼11.0
Puma Shen 4-8%
10.5%
▼18.5
Other
2.50%
–
Probability over time
Chiang Wan-an <4%
Chiang Wan-an 4-8%
Puma Shen <4%
Puma Shen 8%+
Chiang Wan-an 8-12%
Chiang Wan-an 12%+
2026-11-12 ~ 2026-11-15 · y-axis %
