7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on December 31?
Polymarket traders put "24+" at 79.5% on "7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on December 31?". $243 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
24+
–80%
PoliticsVol $243Total volume $243Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
24+
79.5%
–
22+
71.5%
–
26+
64.0%
–
28+
47.5%
–
30+
46.5%
–
32+
44.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
