7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on December 31?
Polymarket traders put "2+" at 79.0% on "7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on December 31?". $243 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
2+
–79%
PoliticsVol $243Total volume $402Liquidity $877in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
2+
79.0%
–
3+
69.0%
–
6+
54.5%
–
7+
53.0%
–
4+
51.0%
–
5+
37.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
