Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?" at 4.0%. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
–4%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $71KLiquidity $17Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
4.00%
–

Probability over time

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.