AL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 35.5% on "AL-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▼0.536%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $18Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
35.5%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
27.5%
▲3.0
Republican 40-45%
27.0%
▼4.5
Republican 0-10%
26.0%
▼1.5
Republican 50%+
25.0%
▼11.5
Republican 45-50%
25.0%
▼10.0
Republican 20-25%
19.5%
▼10.0
Democrat Wins
19.5%
▲4.0
Republican 10-20%
19.0%
▼9.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
