AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40-45%" at 37.0% on "AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $160 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 40-45%
▲2.537%
PoliticsVol $160Total volume $10KLiquidity $106Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40-45%
37.0%
▲2.5
Republican 35-40%
30.0%
▼1.0
Republican 30-35%
17.7%
▼4.0
Republican 45-50%
10.3%
–
Republican 25-30%
5.90%
–
Republican 15-25%
5.90%
▲1.5
Republican 55%+
5.20%
–
Republican 50-55%
2.95%
▼1.8
Republican 0-15%
2.45%
–
Democrat Wins
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
