AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 23.5% on "AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▼3.524%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $325Liquidity $18Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
23.5%
▼3.5
Republican 40-45%
22.5%
▼5.0
Republican 25-30%
21.0%
▼6.0
Republican 15-25%
21.0%
▼8.0
Republican 30-35%
20.5%
▼3.0
Republican 50-55%
19.5%
▼4.0
Republican 55%+
19.0%
▼3.5
Republican 0-15%
18.5%
▼8.5
Republican 45-50%
10.5%
▼12.0
Democrat Wins
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Republican 35-40%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 50-55%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
