AL-04 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Robert Aderholt (R)" at 99.3% on "AL-04 House Election Winner". Up 0.6%p from yesterday. $28 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Robert Aderholt (R)
▲0.699%
PoliticsVol $28Total volume $38KLiquidity $34Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Robert Aderholt (R)
99.3%
▲0.6
Amanda Pusczek (D)
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Robert Aderholt (R)
Amanda Pusczek (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.