Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Polymarket traders put "Yulia Navalnaya" at 43.7% on "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026". Up 38.5%p from yesterday. $1.4M traded in the last 24 hours. There are 42 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
Yulia Navalnaya
▲38.544%
PoliticsVol $1.4MTotal volume $28.4MLiquidity $1.9MComments 221in 6 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Yulia Navalnaya
43.7%
▲38.5
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
8.75%
▲7.8
World Central Kitchen
8.00%
▲6.9
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
6.45%
▼9.0
Mykola Kuleba
5.50%
▼3.0
Save the Children
5.40%
▼1.7
Committee to Protect Journalists
3.75%
▼0.5
International Court of Justice
3.35%
▼0.5
Hussam Abu Safiya
3.00%
▲0.5
UNRWA
2.15%
–
Doctors Without Borders
2.05%
–
International Space Station
2.05%
▼0.7
Ilham Tohti
1.90%
▼0.6
UNHCR
1.70%
▼1.3
Sara Al-Saqqa
1.60%
–
Mark Carney
1.35%
–
Jimmy Lai
1.35%
▼0.8
ICRC
1.30%
–
Pope Leo XIV
1.15%
–
Chow Hang-tung
1.05%
–
Reporters Without Borders
1.05%
–
International Criminal Court
0.80%
▼1.1
International Peace Research Association
0.80%
▲0.8
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
0.75%
–
Greta Thunberg
0.70%
–
Parents Circle – Families Forum
0.70%
–
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
0.65%
–
International Association of Judges
0.50%
–
António Guterres
0.35%
▼0.9
Ahmed al-Sharaa
0.30%
–

Probability over time

Yulia Navalnaya
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
World Central Kitchen
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
Mykola Kuleba
Save the Children
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.