Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Most likely right now
Yulia Navalnaya
▼0.58%
PoliticsVol $27KTotal volume $23.5MLiquidity $2.0MComments 201in 2 months (Oct 10)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Yulia Navalnaya
8.00%
▼0.5
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
4.65%
–
UNRWA
4.35%
–
Pope Leo XIV
3.05%
–
International Court of Justice
2.90%
–
Donald Trump
2.15%
–
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
1.85%
–
Narendra Modi
1.30%
–
Ahmed al-Sharaa
1.20%
–
Greta Thunberg
1.10%
–
Julian Assange
1.05%
–
António Guterres
0.70%
–
Xi Jinping
0.55%
–
Charlie Kirk
0.30%
–
Khaled Mashal
0.25%
–
Benjamin Netanyahu
0.25%
–
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
0.25%
–
Elon Musk
0.15%
–
Vladimir Putin
0.15%
–
Mohammed bin Salman
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
