AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-10%" at 29.0% on "AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-10%
▲1.529%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $204Liquidity $10.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-10%
29.0%
▲1.5
Republican 25-30%
28.5%
▼4.5
Republican 40%+
26.5%
▼4.0
Republican 10-15%
26.5%
▼1.5
Republican 20-25%
26.0%
▼3.0
Republican 35-40%
25.5%
▲3.0
Republican 15-20%
23.5%
▲2.0
Republican 30-35%
22.5%
▼5.0
Democrat Wins
3.70%
▼0.6
Probability over time
Republican 0-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 40%+
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
