AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 30.5% on "AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
–31%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $7.5KLiquidity $70Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
30.5%
–
Republican 20-25%
22.5%
–
Republican 25-30%
20.5%
▲2.5
Republican 10-15%
14.3%
▼3.5
Republican 35-40%
8.80%
▼2.2
Republican 30-35%
7.00%
–
Republican 0-10%
3.95%
–
Democrat Wins
3.60%
▼1.3
Republican 40%+
3.50%
▼0.9
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
