AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 26.5% on "AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
–27%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $16KLiquidity $72Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
26.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
25.5%
▲1.0
Republican 10-20%
16.3%
▲1.0
Republican 20-25%
14.0%
▼2.0
Republican 35-40%
8.25%
▼4.3
Republican 0-10%
7.25%
–
Republican 50%+
5.00%
▼1.1
Republican 40-45%
4.35%
–
Republican 45-50%
4.20%
–
Democrat Wins
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 10-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 0-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
