AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 32.0% on "AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▼0.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
32.0%
▼0.5
Republican 20-25%
31.5%
▲1.0
Republican 45-50%
30.5%
▼3.0
Republican 25-30%
30.0%
▼4.5
Republican 10-20%
28.5%
▲11.5
Republican 0-10%
28.5%
▼6.5
Republican 30-35%
24.5%
▼9.0
Republican 40-45%
23.5%
▲5.0
Republican 50%+
23.0%
▼9.5
Democrat Wins
19.6%
▼12.7
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
