AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 28.0% on "AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▼1.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $16KLiquidity $138Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
28.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 35-40%
21.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 25-30%
20.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 40%+
14.3%
▲0.7
Democrat 20-25%
4.80%
–
Democrat 15-20%
3.80%
▼1.1
Democrat 10-15%
0.40%
–
Republican Wins
0.40%
–
Democrat 0-10%
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 40%+
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
