AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 33.0% on "AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
–33%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $199Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
33.0%
–
Democrat 30-35%
31.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
31.5%
▲8.0
Democrat 40%+
31.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 0-10%
30.5%
▲5.0
Democrat 35-40%
26.0%
–
Democrat 10-15%
26.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 15-20%
25.5%
–
Republican Wins
3.50%
▼0.9
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 40%+
Democrat 0-10%
Democrat 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
