Alabama Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 30%+" at 20.0% on "Alabama Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
0.520%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.5KLiquidity $69Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
20.0%
0.5
Republican 10-15%
18.0%
Republican 15-20%
16.5%
Republican 20-25%
11.5%
Republican 5-10%
10.5%
Republican 25-30%
9.50%
Republican 0-5%
8.00%
Democrat Wins
3.95%
1.1

Probability over time

Republican 30%+
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.