Alabama Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 27.5% on "Alabama Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼0.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $6.7KLiquidity $123Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
27.5%
▼0.5
Republican 20-25%
18.3%
–
Republican 10-15%
18.0%
▼1.0
Republican 5-10%
15.5%
▲1.0
Republican 25-30%
13.0%
▼1.5
Republican 35%+
5.00%
–
Republican 30-35%
4.55%
–
Republican 0-5%
3.65%
–
Democrat Wins
1.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
