Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round)
Polymarket traders put "Sullivan 0-3%" at 25.5% on "Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round)". $60 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Sullivan 0-3%
–26%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $60Liquidity $14Kin 12 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 22 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Sullivan 0-3%
25.5%
–
Peltola 0-3%
18.5%
–
Peltola 9-12%
18.0%
–
Peltola 3-6%
17.5%
–
Sullivan 3-6%
13.5%
–
Peltola 6-9%
11.5%
–
Sullivan 9-12%
6.00%
–
Sullivan 6-9%
6.00%
–
Peltola 12+%
6.00%
–
Sullivan 12+%
5.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
