Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "220-239" at 15.5% on "Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?". $26K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 26 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 23.

Most likely right now
220-239
–16%
PoliticsVol $26KTotal volume $25KLiquidity $189Kin 10 days (Oct 23)
Current probability

Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
220-239
15.5%
–
200-219
13.5%
–
240-259
13.5%
–
260-279
10.5%
–
160-179
7.50%
–
280-299
7.50%
–
180-199
6.50%
–
300-319
5.05%
–
320-339
4.10%
–
140-159
3.35%
–
340-359
2.90%
–
360-379
2.15%
–
380-399
2.10%
–
400-419
1.60%
–
500+
1.50%
–
120-139
1.25%
–
420-439
1.20%
–
440-459
0.95%
–
460-479
0.75%
–
100-119
0.70%
–
480-499
0.70%
–
80-99
0.30%
–
60-79
0.15%
–
<20
0.05%
–
20-39
0.05%
–
40-59
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.