Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Remain 40–60%" at 56.0% on "Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory". $154 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 20.
Most likely right now
Remain 40–60%
–56%
PoliticsVol $154Total volume $154Liquidity $1.3Kin 10 days (Oct 20)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Remain 40–60%
56.0%
–
Remain 60–80%
29.0%
–
Remain 80%+
19.5%
–
Remain <20%
19.5%
–
Leave wins
12.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
