Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Aziz 15%+" at 27.0% on "Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory". $2 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.

Most likely right now
Aziz 15%+
–27%
PoliticsVol $2Total volume $2Liquidity $2.1Kin 18 days (Oct 26)
Current probability

Oct 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Aziz 15%+
27.0%
–
Aziz 10-15%
26.0%
–
Aziz <3%
16.0%
–
Maria do Carmo wins
16.0%
–
Aziz 6-10%
15.0%
–
Aziz 3-6%
14.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.