Another commercial vessel struck in Black Sea by…?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 95.0% on "Another commercial vessel struck in Black Sea by…?". $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–95%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $4.4Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
95.0%
–
November 30
57.0%
–
November 15
47.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
