Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Shutdown & Democratic Party" at 90.8% on "Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?". Unchanged from yesterday. $57 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.
Most likely right now
Shutdown & Democratic Party
–91%
PoliticsVol $57Total volume $350KLiquidity $84KComments 12in 4 months (Feb 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
90.8%
–
Shutdown & Republican Party
9.50%
–
Probability over time
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Shutdown & Republican Party
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
