Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Shutdown & Democratic Party" at 86.0% on "Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?". Down 2.1%p from yesterday. $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Shutdown & Democratic Party
▼2.186%
PoliticsVol $1.0KTotal volume $334KLiquidity $33KComments 12in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
86.0%
▼2.1
Shutdown & Republican Party
10.5%
–
Probability over time
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Shutdown & Republican Party
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
