AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼3.526%
PoliticsVol $299Total volume $329Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
25.5%
▼3.5
Republican 20-25%
25.0%
▼9.0
Republican 5-10%
25.0%
▲1.0
Republican 0-5%
25.0%
▼7.5
Republican 25%+
21.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 0-5%
21.5%
▲2.0
Republican 15-20%
19.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 5%+
17.5%
▼11.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
