AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 29.5% on "AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory". $69 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
–30%
PoliticsVol $69Total volume $8.6KLiquidity $55Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
29.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
23.3%
–
Republican 10-15%
22.6%
▲5.5
Democrat 5%+
18.0%
▲7.5
Democrat 0-5%
8.40%
–
Republican 20-25%
4.65%
▼1.8
Republican 15-20%
4.00%
–
Republican 25%+
0.65%
–
Probability over time
Republican 0-5%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Democrat 5%+
Democrat 0-5%
Republican 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
