AR-03 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Steve Womack (R)" at 95.5% on "AR-03 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $60 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Steve Womack (R)
–95%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $22KLiquidity $64Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Steve Womack (R)
95.5%
–
Robb Ryerse (D)
4.00%
–

Probability over time

Steve Womack (R)
Robb Ryerse (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.