AR-03 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Republican Party" at 95.0% on "AR-03 House Election Winner". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $200 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican Party
0.595%
PoliticsVol $200Total volume $17KLiquidity $59Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican Party
95.0%
0.5
Democratic Party
5.50%

Probability over time

Republican Party
Democratic Party
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.