AR-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Bruce Westerman (R)" at 97.4% on "AR-04 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Bruce Westerman (R)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $24KLiquidity $52Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Bruce Westerman (R)
97.4%
–
James Russell (D)
2.00%
–
Probability over time
Bruce Westerman (R)
James Russell (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
