Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Hobbs 6-9%" at 27.5% on "Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Hobbs 6-9%
▼1.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $116Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Hobbs 6-9%
27.5%
▼1.5
Hobbs 9-12%
23.0%
–
Hobbs 12-15%
14.5%
–
Hobbs 15-18%
9.80%
▼2.4
Hobbs 3-6%
8.00%
▼0.5
Hobbs 18%+
7.80%
▲2.2
Hobbs 0-3%
4.95%
▼1.9
Biggs 0-3%
2.65%
▼1.5
Biggs 6%+
0.85%
–
Biggs 3-6%
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Hobbs 6-9%
Hobbs 9-12%
Hobbs 12-15%
Hobbs 15-18%
Hobbs 3-6%
Hobbs 18%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
