Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
Polymarket traders put "Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?" at 63.0%. Up 19.5%p from yesterday. $127 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
▲19.563%
PoliticsVol $127Total volume $1.8KLiquidity $598in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
63.0%
▲19.5
Probability over time
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
