Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 20.5% on "Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $175 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲0.521%
PoliticsVol $175Total volume $3.0KLiquidity $78Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
20.5%
▲0.5
Republican 20-25%
20.0%
–
Republican 30-35%
14.5%
–
Republican 15-20%
14.5%
–
Republican 10-15%
8.50%
–
Republican 35%+
6.95%
–
Republican 5-10%
4.50%
–
Republican 0-5%
1.10%
▼0.9
Democrat Wins
0.95%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
