Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 27.0% on "Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. $495 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼3.527%
PoliticsVol $495Total volume $16KLiquidity $97Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
27.0%
▼3.5
Republican 20-25%
25.5%
▼3.0
Republican 10-15%
23.4%
▲1.8
Republican 5-10%
10.9%
–
Republican 0-5%
9.75%
▼1.8
Republican 25-30%
4.85%
▲1.1
Democrat Wins
3.90%
–
Republican 30-35%
2.75%
▼1.1
Republican 35%+
1.80%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
