Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Tom Cotton (R) " at 94.0% on "Arkansas Senate Election Winner". $230 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Tom Cotton (R)
–94%
PoliticsVol $230Total volume $37KLiquidity $115Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Tom Cotton (R)
94.0%
–
Hallie Shoffner (D)
6.10%
–
Probability over time
Tom Cotton (R)
Hallie Shoffner (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
