Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 28.7% on "Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory". $120 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
–29%
PoliticsVol $120Total volume $12KLiquidity $101Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
28.7%
–
Republican 15-20%
25.0%
▼2.5
Republican 5-10%
13.5%
▼1.0
Republican 0-5%
9.80%
▼1.1
Republican 40%+
8.40%
▲2.5
Democrat Wins
7.95%
▲2.1
Republican 20-25%
6.00%
▼3.5
Republican 25-30%
5.50%
–
Republican 35-40%
5.00%
–
Republican 30-35%
3.65%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 40%+
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
