Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 22.0% on "Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $50 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼0.522%
PoliticsVol $50Total volume $2.1KLiquidity $79Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
22.0%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
17.0%
–
Republican 10-15%
15.4%
–
Republican 5-10%
13.5%
▼1.0
Republican 25-30%
10.5%
–
Republican 35-40%
7.50%
–
Republican 30-35%
7.50%
▲1.5
Republican 40%+
4.40%
–
Democrat Wins
4.40%
–
Republican 0-5%
2.40%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
