Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
Polymarket traders put "30-34" at 25.9% on "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?". Unchanged from yesterday. $30 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
30-34
–26%
PoliticsVol $30Total volume $2.4KLiquidity $5.7Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
30-34
25.9%
–
25-29
25.0%
▼0.5
<25
19.5%
–
35-39
16.5%
▼1.0
40+
8.50%
▼3.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
