Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?
Polymarket traders put "0-5" at 34.0% on "Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
0-5
▼4.534%
PoliticsVol $1.5KTotal volume $8.3KLiquidity $7.1Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
0-5
34.0%
▼4.5
5-10
33.0%
▼0.5
10-15
16.5%
▼1.0
25-30
8.60%
▲5.5
15-20
6.50%
▲2.5
20-25
5.15%
▲1.7
30+
4.05%
▼2.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
