AZ-01 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Amish Shah (D)" at 79.5% on "AZ-01 House Election Winner". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $67 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Amish Shah (D)
▼0.580%
PoliticsVol $67Total volume $63KLiquidity $62Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Amish Shah (D)
79.5%
▼0.5
Jay Feely (R)
20.0%
–

Probability over time

Amish Shah (D)
Jay Feely (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.