AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 6-9%" at 37.0% on "AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 6-9%
▲2.037%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $200Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 6-9%
37.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 12-15%
35.0%
▲7.5
Democrat 3-6%
34.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 9-12%
32.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 15-18%
31.5%
▼1.0
Republican 0-3%
28.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 18%+
28.0%
▼3.5
Republican 3-6%
28.0%
▼0.5
Republican 6%+
26.5%
▼3.0
Probability over time
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 15-18%
Republican 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
