AZ-02 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Eli Crane (R)" at 68.5% on "AZ-02 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Eli Crane (R)
–69%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.4KLiquidity $55Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Eli Crane (R)
68.5%
–
Jonathan Nez (D)
31.5%
▲1.0

Probability over time

Eli Crane (R)
Jonathan Nez (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.