AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 26.5% on "AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
▼0.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
26.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-3%
26.5%
▲6.0
Republican 18%+
24.5%
▼0.5
Republican 15-18%
24.5%
▲6.0
Democrat 6%+
24.0%
▼3.0
Republican 9-12%
23.5%
▼3.5
Republican 12-15%
23.0%
▼1.0
Republican 3-6%
20.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 3-6%
11.0%
▼6.5
Republican 6-9%
8.75%
▼15.4
Probability over time
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 18%+
Republican 15-18%
Democrat 6%+
Republican 9-12%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
