AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 26.5% on "AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
–27%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $125Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
26.5%
–
Republican 3-6%
19.0%
–
Republican 6-9%
17.2%
▲1.1
Democrat 0-3%
15.5%
–
Democrat 6%+
13.4%
–
Democrat 3-6%
4.85%
–
Republican 12-15%
4.20%
–
Republican 15-18%
3.40%
–
Republican 9-12%
3.35%
–
Republican 18%+
1.35%
▼0.8
Probability over time
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 6%+
Democrat 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
